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Work in Progress or in Rest

• Welfare vs. Utility
• What are Social Norms? (with K. Spiekermann)
• Judgment Aggregation (with C. List), book under review at Cambridge University Press
• Generative Democracy: New Foundations For Democratic Theory (with K. Spiekermann), book in progress for Oxford University Press
• Axiomatic foundations of normative uncertainty (with B. Jabarian) [preliminary draft available on request]
• The risk attitude under normative uncertainty (with B. Jabarian) [preliminary draft available on request]
• Choice-theoretic deontic logic (with C. List)
• Judgment aggregation with consistency alone (with C. List)
• Towards a unified theory of aggregation (with C. List), Slides of the Social Choice and Welfare Prize Lecture, SCW Meeting, 2010
• Welfarism, preferencism, judgmentism

Publications

• The impossibility of non-manipulable probability aggregation (with C. List), The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, forthcoming
• Deliberation and the Wisdom of Crowds (with K. Spiekermann), Economic Theory, 2024 [supplementary material]
• Dynamically rational judgment aggregation (with C. List), Social Choice and Welfare 63: 531–580, 2024
• Abstract rationality: the ‘logical’ structure of attitudes (with A. Staras and R. Sugden), Economics and Philosophy, 1-30, 2023 [preprint]
• Reasoning in attitudes (with A. Staras), Synthese 200: 1-31, 2022 [preprint]
• Categorical versus graded beliefs, Frontiers in Psychology 18: 817940, 2022
• Decision under normative uncertainty (with B. Jabarian), Economics and Philosophy 38(3): 372-394, 2022 [preprint]
• Fully Bayesian Aggregation, Journal of Economic Theory 194: 105255, 2021 [preprint]
• Jury Theorems (with K. Spiekermann), Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, 2021
• Savage's response to Allais as Broomean reasoning (with A. Staras and R. Sugden), Journal of Economic Methodology 28(2): 143-164, 2021 [preprint]
• Social Epistemology [a review] (with K. Spiekermann). In: M. Knauff & W. Spohn (eds.) The Handbook of Rationality, MIT Press, 2021, pp. 579-590
• The relation between degrees of belief and binary beliefs: a general impossibility theorem (with C. List). In: I. Douven (ed.) Lotteries, Knowledge, and Rational Belief. Essays on the Lottery Paradox, Cambridge University Press, 2021, pp. 223-54 [preprint]
• Jury Theorems (with K. Spiekermann). In: M. Fricker et al. (eds.) The Routledge Handbook of Social Epistemology. New York and Abingdon: Routledge, 2020, pp. 386–396 [preprint]
• A Broomean model of rationality and reasoning (with A. Staras and R. Sugden), Journal of Philosophy 116: 585-614, 2019 [preprint]
• A theory of Bayesian groups, Noûs 53: 708-736, 2019 [preprint]
• Savage's theorem under changing awareness, Journal of Economic Theory 176: 1-54, 2018 [preprint]
• From degrees of belief to binary beliefs: Lessons from judgment-aggregation theory (with C. List), Journal of Philosophy 115: 225-270, 2018 [preprint]
• Introduction to the special issue 'Beliefs in Groups' of Theory and Decision (with W. Rabinowicz), Theory and Decision 85: 1-4, 2018 [preprint]
• What matters and how it matters: a choice-theoretic representation of moral theories (with C. List), Philosophical Review 126(4): 421-479, 2017 [preprint]
• Probabilistic opinion pooling generalized. Part one: general agendas (with C. List), Social Choice and Welfare 48: 747-786, 2017
• Probabilistic opinion pooling generalized. Part two: the premise-based approach (with C. List), Social Choice and Welfare 48: 787-814, 2017
• Judgment aggregation and agenda manipulation, Games and Economic Behavior 95: 113-36, 2016 [preprint]
• Belief revision generalized: a joint characterization of Bayes's and Jeffrey's rules (with C. List and R. Bradley), Journal of Economic Theory 162: 352-371, 2016 [preprint]
  • For additional results about Adams's rule and the dual-Jeffrey rule see the earlier version titled A unified characterization of belief revision rules
• Reason-based choice and context-dependence: An explanatory framework (with C. List), Economics and Philosophy 32(2): 175-229, 2016 [preprint]
• Mentalism versus behaviourism in economics: a philosophy-of-science perspective (with C. List), Economics and Philosophy 32(2): 249-281, 2016 [preprint]
• Probabilistic Opinion Pooling [a review] (with C. List). In: A. Hájek & C. Hitchcock (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Probability and Philosophy, Oxford University Press, 2016 [preprint]
• Aggregation theory and the relevance of some issues to others, Journal of Economic Theory 160: 463-493, 2015 [preprint]
• For a few additional results see the 2006 version (Meteor Research Memorandum RM/07/002, Maastricht University, 2007)
• Aggregating causal judgments (with R. Bradley and C. List), Philosophy of Science 81(4): 491-515, 2014 [preprint]
• Judgment aggregation in search for the truth (with I. Bozbay and H. Peters), Games and Economic Behavior 87: 571-590, 2014 [preprint]
• Scoring rules for judgment aggregation, Social Choice and Welfare 42(4): 873-911, 2014
• Anti-terrorism policies and the risk of provoking, Journal of Theoretical Politics 26(3): 405-41, 2014 [preprint]
• Independent opinions? On the causal foundations of belief formation and jury theorems (with K. Spiekermann), Mind 122(487): 655-685, 2013 [preprint]
• Where do preferences come from? A summary (with C. List), Proceedings of the International Conference on Logic Across the University: Foundations and Applications, Beijing, China, 2013
  • Our response in these proceedings to replies to our paper: A response to Baltag, Girard, and White
• Judgment aggregation and the discursive dilemma, in: Encyclopedia of Philosophy and the Social Sciences, edited by Byron Kaldis, SAGE Publishing, 2013
• Epistemic democracy with defensible premises (with K. Spiekermann), Economics and Philosophy 29(1): 87-120, 2013 [preprint]
• Where do preferences come from? (with C. List), International Journal of Game Theory 42(3): 613-637, 2013 [preprint]
• Reasons for (prior) belief in Bayesian Epistemology (with C. List), Synthese 190: 787-808, 2013 [preprint]
• Propositionwise judgment aggregation: the general case (with C. List), Social Choice and Welfare 40: 1067-1095, 2013
• A reason-based theory of rational choice (with C. List), Noûs 47(1): 104-134, 2013 [preprint]
• Modelling change in individual characteristics: an axiomatic framework, Games and Economic Behavior 76: 471-94, 2012 [preprint]
• Bargaining with endogenous disagreement: the extended Kalai-Smorodinsky solution (with I. Bozbay and H. Peters), Games and Economic Behavior 74: 407-17, 2012 [preprint]
• A model of non-informational preference change (with C. List), Journal of Theoretical Politics 23(2): 145-64, 2011 [preprint]
• Bayesian group belief, Social Choice and Welfare 35(4): 595-626, 2010 [preprint]
• The possibility of judgment aggregation on agendas with subjunctive implications, Journal of Economic Theory 145(2): 603-638, 2010 [preprint]
• The aggregation of propositional attitudes: towards a general theory (with C. List), Oxford Studies in Epistemology 3: 215-234, 2010 [Corrigendum]
• Majority voting on restricted domains (with C. List), Journal of Economic Theory 145(2): 512-543, 2010 [preprint]
• Editorial, The Reasoner 4(8): 117-20, 2010
• Un bilan interprétatif de la théorie de l'agrégation logique (with P. Mongin as first author), Revue d'Economie Politique 120: 929-72, 2010 [preprint]
• The premise-based approach to judgment aggregation (with P. Mongin), Journal of Economic Theory 145(2): 562-582, 2010 [preprint]
  • an earlier version which results about infinite populations
• The impossibility of unbiased judgment aggregation (with C. List), Theory and Decision 68: 281-299, 2010 [preprint]
• The problem of constrained judgment aggregation (with C. List), in: F. Stadler et al. (eds.), The Present Situation in the Philosophy of Science, Springer: Dordrecht, p. 125-139, 2009 [preprint]
• The premises of Condorcet's jury theorem are not simultaneously justified, Episteme - a Journal of Social Epistemology 5(1): 56-73, 2008 [preprint]
• A liberal paradox for judgment aggregation (with C. List), Social Choice and Welfare 31(1): 59-78, 2008 [preprint]
• Judgment aggregation without full rationality (with C. List), Social Choice and Welfare 31(1): 15-39, 2008 [preprint]
• Judgment aggregation under constraints (with C. List), in Economics, Rational Choice and Normative Philosophy, T. Boylan and R. Gekker (eds.), London (Routledge), 2008 [preprint]
• Strategy-proof judgment aggregation (with C. List), Economics and Philosophy 23: 269-300, 2007 [preprint]
• Judgment aggregation by quota rules: majority voting generalized (with C. List), Journal of Theoretical Politics 19(4): 391-424, 2007 [preprint]
• Arrow's theorem in judgment aggregation (with C. List), Social Choice and Welfare 29(1): 19-33, 2007 [preprint]
• A generalised model of judgment aggregation (earlier title: "Judgment aggregation in general logics"), Social Choice and Welfare 28(4): 529-565, 2007 [preprint]
• General representation of epistemically optimal procedures, Social Choice and Welfare 26(2): 263-283, 2006 [preprint]
• Judgment aggregation: (im)possibility theorems, Journal of Economic Theory 126(1): 286-298, 2006 [preprint]
• Judgment aggregation without full rationality: a summary (with C. List), Proceedings of the 1st International Workshop on Computational Social Choice (COMSOC), Amsterdam, 2006, pp. 139-152
• On coherent sets and the transmission of confirmation (with L. Moretti), Philosophy of Science 72(3): 403-424, 2005 [preprint]
• How to reach legitimate decisions when the procedure is controversial, Social Choice and Welfare 24: 363-393, 2005 [preprint]
• The two-envelope paradox: an axiomatic approach (with C. List), Mind 114: 239-248, 2005 [preprint]
• A model of jury decisions where all jurors have the same evidence (with C. List), Synthese 142: 175-202, 2004 [preprint]
• The limiting distribution of the t-ratio for the unit root test in an AR(1), Econometrics Journal 4(2): 242-256, 2001

Theses

• Judgment aggregation: a general theory of collective decisions, Habilitation Thesis, Karlsruhe University, Economics Faculty, 2008
• Closed Analytical Forms and Numerical Approximation of Dickey-Fuller Probability Distributions, Doctoral Thesis, Mathematical Institute, University of Oxford, 2003